Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.883857 3.450941 4.085129 4.844705 5.727389 6.718378 7.912681
2025-11-02 1.964543 2.653532 3.507222 4.633868 6.071626 7.834050 10.145571
2025-11-09 1.422334 2.130657 3.087494 4.455449 6.338139 8.811950 12.276668
2025-11-16 1.119843 1.834301 2.873206 4.461409 6.787343 10.020197 14.791347
2025-11-23 0.906501 1.609601 2.701514 4.472031 7.208295 11.198421 17.353187
2025-11-30 0.736509 1.410528 2.523181 4.427245 7.516365 12.218033 19.758824
2025-12-07 0.576727 1.190937 2.267758 4.209700 7.510745 12.743433 21.449652
2025-12-14 0.480036 1.061706 2.138398 4.172992 7.776629 13.695096 23.859790
2025-12-21 0.405285 0.957223 2.032857 4.156438 8.063787 14.693516 26.414048
2025-12-28 0.373575 0.933009 2.071623 4.403229 8.830686 16.546331 30.512120
2026-01-04 0.332736 0.880097 2.044547 4.518731 9.367557 18.045006 34.122130
2026-01-11 0.303827 0.847768 2.053261 4.702757 10.046209 19.840888 38.371605
2026-01-18 0.262327 0.777656 1.973432 4.702379 10.383088 21.073341 41.765098
2026-01-25 0.215346 0.682302 1.821420 4.528724 10.358292 21.638910 44.004999
2026-02-01 0.177106 0.599811 1.683443 4.363556 10.327687 22.183735 46.239943
2026-02-08 0.154387 0.554753 1.626934 4.372442 10.658434 23.446623 49.911000
2026-02-15 0.135056 0.514502 1.575044 4.383831 10.993364 24.740674 53.729376
2026-02-22 0.116222 0.470415 1.504835 4.340129 11.199473 25.787250 57.131677
2026-03-01 0.094209 0.408808 1.374672 4.126495 10.993330 25.962341 58.800841
2026-03-08 0.081393 0.375239 1.317063 4.090461 11.195026 27.007591 62.305151
2026-03-15 0.070936 0.347015 1.269634 4.074208 11.440998 28.164417 66.114737
2026-03-22 0.068273 0.348655 1.314214 4.316668 12.344789 30.825696 73.252991
2026-03-29 0.062667 0.336516 1.313044 4.430153 12.936793 32.834275 79.120767